Time series momentum, Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
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Strategy

Time series momentum, Bitcoin (BTCUSD)

Long when the close is above the close 60 days ago, flat otherwise. Risks 2 percent of the balance per trade.

MomentumBitcoin (BTCUSD)D1

How it was chosen

The parameters were chosen on the bars before Jan 1, 2023 only, from a small grid. Everything from that day on was run once, afterwards, and is the out of sample part.

It beat 100 percent of 100 shuffled versions of its own market in sample, and 96 percent out of sample.

Settings

MarketBitcoin (BTCUSD)
TimeframeD1
PeriodJan 1, 2018 to Sep 30, 2026
Starting balance10,000 USD
Leverage1:2
Commission per lot0 USD
Swap per night, long and short-10 / -10 pips
Fill modelOHLC

Parameters

ParameterValue
lookback60
allowShort0
atrPeriod20
stopAtr4
riskPercent2

Indicators it reads

OrionQuant